JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$45.76
0.28 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-2.89%
30d:
-3.36%
90d:
+0.57%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.89
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.36
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $45.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.29 to $48.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.0) compared to its historical average (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 28/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+24.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$46.29 -
$48.11
Company Quality Score
39/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
56.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (28/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.6% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.29 -
$48.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.53
Resistance Level
$49.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.96
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.6% premium
PE vs Historical
29.0 vs 22.6
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.70
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$53.97
(+18%)
3-Year Target
$58.61
(+28%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$45.74
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$59.20
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.03
(-10%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$34.87
(-24%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 28, 2026 6:41 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:41 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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