JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$47.91
1.00 (2.13%)
▲
5d:
+1.65%
30d:
+10.19%
90d:
-10.18%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.59
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.08
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $47.91, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.18 to $47.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (22.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $48.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+17.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$44.18 -
$47.12
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($55.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.18 -
$47.12
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.52
Resistance Level
$48.30
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.96
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+17.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 22.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.32
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$43.77
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$42.29
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→22)
$47.03
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 213.3%)
$164.41
(+251%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 213.3%)
$158.32
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.0, Growth: 213.3%)
$134.57
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.0 to 22.2
Stabilization Target:
$52.17
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
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