Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$44.91
0.40 (0.90%)
▲
5d:
+1.08%
30d:
-1.77%
90d:
+4.54%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOUT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: JOUT trades at premium valuation expecting 10.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.65
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $44.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.07 to $45.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (23.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $45.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $45.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 73/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$44.07 -
$45.45
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (73/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.8% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Bottoming setup, but lagging the sector by 15% over 20 days — wait for relative strength
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.07 -
$45.45
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.19
Resistance Level
$45.52
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.85
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.8% premium
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 23.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.76
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$55.13
(+23%)
3-Year Target
$61.09
(+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$57.30
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 8.5%)
$36.70
(-18%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 8.5%)
$31.20
(-31%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 03, 2026 9:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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