JOUT
Johnson Outdoors Inc
SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC
Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$47.57
+0.03 (+0.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.21%
30d:
+12.14%
90d:
-1.27%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (25%)
Quality Score
47/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$43.35 – $47.11
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
33.7x
STRETCHED
vs 24.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$57.00
+19.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$45.63 / $49.65
Trend: Sideways
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.75
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.03
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $47.57, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.35 to $47.11. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.7) compared to its historical average (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $45.63, while resistance sits at $49.65.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $45.63, while resistance sits at $49.65.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 35/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+19.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.35 -
$47.11
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
25.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$43.35 -
$47.11
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$45.63
Resistance Level
$49.65
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Nov 12, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (35/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.3% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.74
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.3% premium
PE vs Historical
33.7 vs 24.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.95
(+11%)
2-Year Target
$58.93
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$65.59
(+38%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.63
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.7, Growth: 8.5%)
$60.70
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$35.73
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$30.37
(-36%)
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (JOUT)
Neutral
1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Feb 24, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
StockTwits is currently flooded with bullish sentiment towards $JOUT, with no new news articles available to provide additional context.
Key Retail Themes:
Positive sentiment around $JOUT
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 11:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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