JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$44.25
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+3.0%
30d:
-3.51%
90d:
-14.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
23d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: JOUT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$102.51
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$63.65
30.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $44.25, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.07 to $46.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 18.8) compared to its historical average (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $43.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+24.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$44.07 -
$46.57
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.3% below Wall St target ($55.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.07 -
$46.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.59
Resistance Level
$47.46
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.83
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+24.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 22.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.77
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$39.43
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$37.22
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→22)
$44.28
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 213.3%)
$172.74
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 213.3%)
$149.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 213.3%)
$126.94
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$52.64
(+19.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 3:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
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