Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$44.61
0.38 (0.85%)
▲
5d:
-1.83%
30d:
-6.22%
90d:
-5.59%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: JOUT shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.54
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.76
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $44.61, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $45.20 to $47.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.2) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $44.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $44.08. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 54/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+27.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$45.20 -
$47.94
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (54/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.8% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 52/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$45.20 -
$47.94
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.08
Resistance Level
$48.00
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.23
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+27.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.2% premium
PE vs Historical
28.2 vs 22.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.82
(+7%)
2-Year Target
$51.27
(+15%)
3-Year Target
$54.96
(+23%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$57.72
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.23
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$35.05
(-21%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 13, 2026 11:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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