Johnson Outdoors (JOUT) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$45.00
-0.44 (-0.97%)
▼
5d:
+3.59%
30d:
+2.83%
90d:
-4.52%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Dec 11, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 10.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.61
Based on 6.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $45.00, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.25 to $44.77. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 31.9) compared to its historical average (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $45.58. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: JOUT scores 68/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+26.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$43.25 -
$44.77
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (68/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.7% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.0% growth which is achievable
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 68/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$43.25 -
$44.77
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$41.78
Resistance Level
$45.58
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.91
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+26.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.0% premium
PE vs Historical
31.9 vs 23.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$49.50
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$54.45
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$59.90
(+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 32→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.85
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$57.42
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$35.73
(-21%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 8.5%)
$30.37
(-33%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 11:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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