JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$45.58
0.11 (0.24%)
▲
5d:
-1.89%
30d:
+6.17%
90d:
-0.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JOUT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 304% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: JOUT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -5.1% annual earnings decline despite 304% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$103.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$64.50
29.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $45.58, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.99 to $46.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (22.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $43.59, while resistance sits at $47.46.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $43.59, while resistance sits at $47.46.
Market Sentiment: JOUT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+20.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.99 -
$46.55
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.7% below Wall St target ($55.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.99 -
$46.55
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.59
Resistance Level
$47.46
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.40
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+20.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 22.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.26
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$41.05
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$38.96
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$45.59
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 213.3%)
$172.74
(+279%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 213.3%)
$153.83
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 213.3%)
$130.76
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 22.7
Stabilization Target:
$53.34
(+17.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 8:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:03 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
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