JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$47.43
0.31 (0.66%)
â˛
5d:
-1.56%
30d:
+3.63%
90d:
+10.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JOUT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: JOUT is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 10.2% expected growth, valuation appears stretched. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.46
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $47.43, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.54 to $48.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.0) compared to its historical average (22.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.90, while resistance sits at $49.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $45.90, while resistance sits at $49.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 53/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $57.00 (+20.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$46.54 -
$48.13
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (53/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($57.00)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 10.2% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$46.54 -
$48.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$45.90
Resistance Level
$49.20
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.02
Wall Street Target
$57.00
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
89.3%
Profit Margin
-1.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.2% premium
PE vs Historical
30.0 vs 22.4
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.27
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$57.60
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$63.47
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30â22)
PE COMPRESSION
$47.36
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.0, Growth: 9.0%)
$61.36
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$41.03
(-14%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 9.0%)
$34.87
(-27%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 6:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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