JOUT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
JOUT - Johnson Outdoors Inc
$44.61
-0.28 (-0.62%)
▼
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
-11.18%
90d:
-8.21%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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1 traders called JOUT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: JOUT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 6.2% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$105.25
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.35
31.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: JOUT is currently trading at $44.61, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.78 to $51.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.0) compared to its historical average (23.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 304.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $45.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, JOUT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $45.84. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $55.00 (+23.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$41.78 -
$51.35
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.3% below Wall St target ($55.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$41.78 -
$51.35
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.94
Resistance Level
$45.84
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.98
Wall Street Target
$55.00
(+23.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
304.5%
Profit Margin
-2.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.0 vs 23.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$41.84
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$39.25
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$36.82
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→23)
$44.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 213.3%)
$173.77
(+290%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.0, Growth: 213.3%)
$150.56
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 213.3%)
$127.97
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.0 to 23.0
Stabilization Target:
$54.05
(+21.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is JOUT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard Casey Sheahan
SELL
7580 shares
2026-02-23
Edward F Lang
SELL
2000 shares
2025-12-17
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