KRMN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

KRMN - Karman Holdings Inc.

AIRCRAFT PARTS & AUXILIARY EQUIPMENT, NEC
$45.41
-0.97 (-2.09%) β–Ό
5d: -12.17%
30d: -29.16%
90d: -55.41%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 6.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: KRMN is down 12.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.85
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: KRMN is currently trading at $45.41, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.23 to $62.35. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 50.3) compared to its historical average (112.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 23.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 482.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, KRMN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $45.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $105.60 (+127.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $48.23 - $62.35
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 127.7% below Wall St target ($105.60)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $48.23 - $62.35
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $45.51
Resistance Level $54.34
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 50.34
Wall Street Target $105.60 (+127.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 51.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 482.9%
Profit Margin 5.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -23.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 50.3 vs 112.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -23.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.74 (-10%)
2-Year Target $37.57 (-19%)
3-Year Target $33.81 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 50β†’113) $75.69 (+63%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 50.3, Growth: 61.1%) $156.53 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 61.1%) $67.72 (+46%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 61.1%) $57.56 (+24%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (91x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (50x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 90.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.51
Bull Case $56.00 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 95.5
Base Case $46.38 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 90.9
Bear Case $35.48 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 81.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 50.3 to 112.7
Stabilization Target: $103.83 (+123.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +123.9%
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Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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