KRP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRP - Kimbell Royalty Partners, LP Common Units representing Limited Partner Interests
$14.97
0.21 (1.42%)
▲
5d:
+0.2%
30d:
+3.17%
90d:
-2.79%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRP shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.83
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.01
28.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRP is currently trading at $14.97, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.57 to $14.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (20.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+26.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRP is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+26.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$14.57 -
$14.99
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 26.9% below Wall St target ($19.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.57 -
$14.99
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.46
Resistance Level
$15.38
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.41
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+26.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-79.9%
Profit Margin
23.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 20.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.25
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$13.57
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$12.92
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→20)
$14.99
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 58.5%)
$18.14
(+21%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 58.5%)
$15.23
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 58.5%)
$12.95
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (32x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 32.09 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$30.35
(+103%)
Analyst growth 87.0%, PE expands to 35.3
Base Case
$27.59
(+84%)
Market implied 87.0%, PE stable at 32.1
Bear Case
$10.04
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 27.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 20.2
Stabilization Target:
$17.37
(+16.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
1
Sells
0
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Blayne Rhynsburger
SELL
6609 shares
2026-03-23
August Pfluger
BUY
2026-03-13
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