KRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
KRT - Karat Packaging Inc. Common Stock
$30.25
1.00 (3.42%)
▲
5d:
+1.41%
30d:
+11.95%
90d:
+10.2%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: KRT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.94
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.08
22.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: KRT is currently trading at $30.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.73 to $29.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 12.4) is in line with its historical norms (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, KRT is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.81. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: KRT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$26.73 -
$29.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($31.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$26.73 -
$29.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.54
Resistance Level
$29.81
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.45
Wall Street Target
$31.00
(+2.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Profit Margin
6.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.5 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$29.61
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$28.99
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$28.38
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→13)
$30.33
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 33.5%)
$125.97
(+316%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 33.5%)
$72.00
(+138%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.6, Growth: 33.5%)
$61.20
(+102%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.58
Bull Case
$49.48
(+64%)
Analyst growth 53.8%, PE expands to 20.4
Base Case
$44.99
(+49%)
Market implied 53.8%, PE stable at 18.5
Bear Case
$19.89
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$32.32
(+6.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 20, 2026 12:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is KRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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