LEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEA - Lear Corporation
$130.64
-15.69 (-10.72%)
▼
5d:
-9.03%
30d:
+0.19%
90d:
+2.76%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: LEA is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.2% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$225.44
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.98
6.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEA is currently trading at $130.64, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $132.96 to $143.70. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.4) is in line with its historical norms (7.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $129.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $129.22. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 10.7% recently.
Market Sentiment: LEA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$132.96 -
$143.70
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
48.6%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LEA? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-10.7%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($150.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.0%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$132.96 -
$143.70
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$129.22
Resistance Level
$150.00
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.39
Wall Street Target
$150.21
(+2.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.2%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.2% premium
PE vs Historical
8.4 vs 7.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$149.55
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$152.84
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$156.20
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$147.03
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 16.9%)
$579.20
(+296%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.4, Growth: 16.9%)
$233.59
(+60%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.1, Growth: 16.9%)
$198.55
(+36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.86 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.93
Bull Case
$284.90
(+118%)
Analyst growth 75.6%, PE expands to 16.3
Base Case
$259.00
(+98%)
Market implied 75.6%, PE stable at 14.9
Bear Case
$100.31
(-23%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 3:38 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:38 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
44 shares
2026-03-13
Marianne Vidershain
SELL
1590 shares
2026-02-24
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SELL
6630 shares
2026-02-19
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