LOAN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

LOAN - Manhattan Bridge Capital, Inc

REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
$4.42
0.04 (0.91%) ▲
5d: +1.38%
30d: +4.74%
90d: +4.25%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LOAN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.92
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.67
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: LOAN is currently trading at $4.42, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.20 to $4.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAN is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.36. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: LOAN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.00 (+58.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $4.20 - $4.34
Company Quality Score 64/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 58.4% below Wall St target ($7.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.7% growth with -6.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $4.20 - $4.34
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.18
Resistance Level $4.36
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 10.05
Wall Street Target $7.00 (+58.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -6.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.3%
Profit Margin 73.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.7% premium
PE vs Historical 10.1 vs 9.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $4.50 (+2%)
2-Year Target $4.57 (+3%)
3-Year Target $4.65 (+5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 10→10) PE COMPRESSION $4.44 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 0.0%) $9.58 (+117%)
Base: (SPY PE: 10.0, Growth: 0.0%) $4.42 (0%)
Bear: (PE: 8.5, Growth: 0.0%) $3.76 (-15%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 9.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.44
Bull Case $4.82 (+9%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 11.0
Base Case $4.38 (-1%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.0
Bear Case $2.98 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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