LOAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOAR - Loar Holdings Inc.
$75.00
0.63 (0.85%)
â˛
5d:
-3.11%
30d:
+6.97%
90d:
+19.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOAR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOAR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -6.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.78
Based on 11.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOAR is currently trading at $75.00, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $69.36 to $75.19. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 46.4) compared to its historical average (56.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 5.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.08, while resistance sits at $78.09.
Market Sentiment: LOAR scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.80 (+19.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOAR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $70.08, while resistance sits at $78.09.
Market Sentiment: LOAR scores 8/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $89.80 (+19.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$69.36 -
$75.19
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOAR? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (8/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($89.80)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$69.36 -
$75.19
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$5.39
(7.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.08
Resistance Level
$78.09
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
46.38
Wall Street Target
$89.80
(+19.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
39.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
46.4 vs 56.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.20
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$65.71
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$61.50
(-18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 46â57)
$74.92
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 46.4, Growth: 18.0%)
$123.26
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$53.34
(-29%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 18.0%)
$45.34
(-40%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (64x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (46x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 64.10 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.17
Bull Case
$90.56
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 67.3
Base Case
$75.00
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 64.1
Bear Case
$57.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 57.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 46.4 to 56.5
Stabilization Target:
$91.36
(+21.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOAR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Paul S Levy
BUY
75000 shares
2026-03-13
Anthony Carpenito
BUY
50 shares
2026-03-13
Anthony Carpenito
BUY
4750 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced LOAR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOAR price and gamma walls.
