LOPE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LOPE - Grand Canyon Education, Inc
$147.46
1.19 (0.81%)
â˛
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
+5.93%
90d:
-5.96%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOPE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: LOPE is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -4.4% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$240.24
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$149.17
1.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LOPE is currently trading at $147.46, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $140.69 to $150.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 18.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOPE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $140.99, while resistance sits at $152.37.
Market Sentiment: LOPE scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.00 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LOPE is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $140.99, while resistance sits at $152.37.
Market Sentiment: LOPE scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $195.00 (+32.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$140.69 -
$150.58
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LOPE? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.2% below Wall St target ($195.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 46/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$140.69 -
$150.58
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
Âą$8.94
(6.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$140.99
Resistance Level
$152.37
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.02
Wall Street Target
$195.00
(+32.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
18.2%
Profit Margin
19.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
13.0 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.97
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$134.77
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$128.84
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13â15)
$147.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$308.48
(+109%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 10.7%)
$200.16
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.1, Growth: 10.7%)
$170.14
(+15%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.29
Bull Case
$220.75
(+50%)
Analyst growth 36.6%, PE expands to 19.5
Base Case
$200.68
(+36%)
Market implied 36.6%, PE stable at 17.7
Bear Case
$99.91
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$168.72
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 5:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LOPE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced LOPE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LOPE price and gamma walls.