LULU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LULU - lululemon athletica inc.
$114.28
3.65 (3.30%)
▲
5d:
-1.76%
30d:
+1.05%
90d:
-19.33%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 03, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LULU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LULU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 8.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$155.31
Based on 0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$96.43
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LULU is currently trading at $114.28, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $111.69 to $118.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (12.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.20, while resistance sits at $122.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LULU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $109.20, while resistance sits at $122.00. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$111.69 -
$118.13
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($127.92)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$111.69 -
$118.13
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$109.20
Resistance Level
$122.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 24, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.29
Wall Street Target
$127.92
(+9.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.0%
Profit Margin
13.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 12.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$106.37
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$97.01
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$88.47
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→12)
$117.15
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$235.24
(+102%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -3.7%)
$104.30
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: -3.7%)
$88.66
(-24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.42 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.39
Bull Case
$130.05
(+14%)
Analyst growth 1.3%, PE expands to 10.4
Base Case
$118.23
(+4%)
Market implied 1.3%, PE stable at 9.4
Bear Case
$79.34
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 12.3
Stabilization Target:
$154.43
(+32.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 26, 2026 5:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LULU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
5
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Nicole Neuburger
SELL
622 shares
2026-04-08
Andre Maestrini
BUY
3275 shares
2026-04-01
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
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