LW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$53.68
0.21 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+1.15%
30d:
+9.15%
90d:
+25.39%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: LW trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: LW trades at premium valuation expecting 6.1% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$58.52
Based on 5.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$36.34
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $53.68, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $48.21 to $53.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.8) compared to its historical average (14.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 6.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.50. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$48.21 -
$53.93
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
63.8%
Protect Your Profits
Holding LW? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($55.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 6.1% growth with 5.6% revenue growth
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (43/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$48.21 -
$53.93
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$51.19
Resistance Level
$54.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.82
Wall Street Target
$55.25
(+2.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-6.2%
Profit Margin
4.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+6.1% premium
PE vs Historical
17.8 vs 14.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.95
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$60.43
(+13%)
3-Year Target
$64.11
(+19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$53.62
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.9%)
$73.90
(+38%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.8, Growth: 6.9%)
$65.61
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.9, Growth: 6.9%)
$54.87
(+2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.08
Bull Case
$85.20
(+59%)
Analyst growth 44.9%, PE expands to 28.3
Base Case
$77.45
(+44%)
Market implied 44.9%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$36.36
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 8:01 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:01 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
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BUY
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2026-04-15
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-13
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BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-08
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