MANH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$214.56
3.35 (1.59%) β–²
5d: +8.7%
30d: +45.53%
90d: +59.44%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MANH is 10.1% above its trading range ($194.94). Market expects 10.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$222.23
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$137.99
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $214.56, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $157.27 to $194.94. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.1) compared to its historical average (26.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $215.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MANH scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $157.27 - $194.94
Company Quality Score 43/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 17.6%

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MANH is technically overbought (RSI 74). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+10.1% above its trading range)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($207.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.0% growth with 9.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile β€” this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $157.27 - $194.94
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $187.59
Resistance Level $215.38
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.08
Wall Street Target $207.00 (-3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.6%
Profit Margin 18.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.0% premium
PE vs Historical 35.1 vs 26.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $236.02 (+10%)
2-Year Target $259.62 (+21%)
3-Year Target $285.58 (+33%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 35β†’26) PE COMPRESSION $214.08 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 35.1, Growth: 11.6%) $298.29 (+39%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 11.6%) $170.64 (-21%)
Bear: (PE: 17.1, Growth: 11.6%) $145.04 (-32%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.91 | Forward EPS (Implied): $5.51
Bull Case $259.08 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.9
Base Case $214.56 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.9
Bear Case $164.14 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:57 AM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James Stewart Gantt SELL 7300 shares 2026-04-24

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