Is MANH stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MANH is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: MANH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of MANH stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MANH to be between $133.74 and $149.46. The current price is $132.62.

What is the analyst price target for MANH?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MANH is $184.00. This implies a potential upside of 42.9% from current levels.

MANH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MANH - Manhattan Associates Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE

$132.62

3.85 (2.99%) ▲

5d: -7.83%

30d: -1.45%

90d: -4.82%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Jul 28, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MANH shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 11.1%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$213.85

Based on 7.6% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$132.79

0.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MANH is currently trading at $132.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $133.74 to $149.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (26.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MANH is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $135.47. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (11th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $184.00 (+42.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD

Historical Trading Range $133.74 - $149.46

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Options IV Signal 11th percentile (COMPLACENCY WARNING)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 11th percentile)
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading 42.9% below Wall St target ($184.00)
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $133.74 - $149.46

Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Expected Move (7 Days) ±$9.23 (7.0%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $135.48

Resistance Level $162.77

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 21.63

Wall Street Target $184.00 (+42.9%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 7.4%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -3.5%

Profit Margin 19.7%

Valuation Discount vs History -6.1% cheaper

PE vs Historical 21.6 vs 26.1 CHEAP

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -6.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $120.92 (-6%)

2-Year Target $113.54 (-12%)

3-Year Target $106.61 (-17%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→26) $128.63 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.1%) $177.63 (+38%)

Base: (SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 11.1%) $176.42 (+37%)

Bear: (PE: 18.4, Growth: 11.1%) $149.96 (+17%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.

Trailing PE: 37.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57

Bull Case $242.62 (+88%)

Analyst growth 66.7%, PE expands to 40.8

Base Case $220.57 (+71%)

Market implied 66.7%, PE stable at 37.1

Bear Case $89.95 (-30%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.5

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 26.1

Stabilization Target: $155.37 (+20.7%)

PE Expansion Potential: +20.7%

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Last updated: June 23, 2026 12:03 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:03 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

James Stewart Gantt SELL 7300 shares 2026-04-24

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