MATW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$26.63
-0.03 (-0.11%)
▼
5d:
+0.45%
30d:
+4.1%
90d:
-2.17%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -24.6% annual earnings decline despite 752% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MATW appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -24.6% annual earnings decline despite 752% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$46.64
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.96
8.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $26.63, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.75 to $26.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 21.6) compared to its historical average (50.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 24.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.97, while resistance sits at $28.01.
Market Sentiment: MATW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $24.97, while resistance sits at $28.01.
Market Sentiment: MATW has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $38.00 (+42.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.75 -
$26.84
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.7% below Wall St target ($38.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.75 -
$26.84
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.97
Resistance Level
$28.01
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.56
Wall Street Target
$38.00
(+42.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-39.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
0.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-24.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.6 vs 50.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-24.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.97
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$21.57
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$19.41
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→50)
$45.29
(+70%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$39.12
(+47%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.6, Growth: 13.3%)
$38.73
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$32.92
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $2.39
Bull Case
$32.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$26.63
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$20.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.6 to 50.3
Stabilization Target:
$62.12
(+133.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+133.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 8:48 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:48 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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