MATW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MATW - Matthews International Corp
$21.27
-0.39 (-1.80%)
▼
5d:
-8.52%
30d:
-21.34%
90d:
-19.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MATW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$38.22
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.73
10.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MATW is currently trading at $21.27, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.40 to $28.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 27.1) compared to its historical average (47.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 17.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 751.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+64.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MATW is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $21.17. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 45/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.00 (+64.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$23.40 -
$28.26
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 64.6% below Wall St target ($35.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$23.40 -
$28.26
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$21.17
Resistance Level
$24.48
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.10
Wall Street Target
$35.00
(+64.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-29.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
751.8%
Profit Margin
-2.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-17.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
27.1 vs 47.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-17.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.14
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$17.23
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$15.51
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→47)
$27.13
(+28%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.1, Growth: 48.1%)
$69.11
(+225%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 48.1%)
$51.19
(+141%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 48.1%)
$43.51
(+105%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 11.15 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.91
Bull Case
$25.68
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 11.7
Base Case
$21.27
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$16.27
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 10.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 27.1 to 47.4
Stabilization Target:
$37.21
(+74.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+74.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 9:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MATW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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