MDV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDV - Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate Investment Trusts
$18.04
-0.21 (-1.15%) ▼
5d: -2.38%
30d: +0.67%
90d: +17.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDV is currently trading at $18.04, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.89 to $18.50. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 138.8) compared to its historical average (117.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.6% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $16.89 - $18.50
Company Quality Score 59/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 71.0%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.6% growth with -1.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $16.89 - $18.50
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.60
Resistance Level $18.67
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 138.77
Wall Street Target $18.67 (+3.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.5%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +5.6% premium
PE vs Historical 138.8 vs 117.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +5.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.05 (+6%)
2-Year Target $20.12 (+12%)
3-Year Target $21.24 (+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 139→118) PE COMPRESSION $18.05 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 138.8, Growth: 30.0%) $39.63 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 30.0%) $6.26 (-65%)
Bear: (PE: 18.6, Growth: 30.0%) $5.32 (-71%)
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Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:42 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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