MDV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDV - Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate Investment Trusts
$18.05
-0.16 (-0.88%) ▼
5d: +6.49%
30d: +2.97%
90d: +1.58%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MDV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDV is currently trading at $18.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.34 to $18.32. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 138.8) compared to its historical average (122.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDV is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $18.38. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MDV scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $17.34 - $18.32
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 81.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.3% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
  • BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.34 - $18.32
Current vs Trading Range FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $16.73
Resistance Level $18.38
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 11, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 138.85
Wall Street Target $18.67 (+3.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.5%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.3% premium
PE vs Historical 138.9 vs 122.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $18.83 (+4%)
2-Year Target $19.64 (+9%)
3-Year Target $20.48 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 139→123) PE COMPRESSION $18.07 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 138.8, Growth: 30.0%) $39.66 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 30.0%) $5.78 (-68%)
Bear: (PE: 17.2, Growth: 30.0%) $4.91 (-73%)
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 3:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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