MDV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MDV - Modiv Industrial, Inc.

Real Estate Investment Trusts
$17.01
-0.10 (-0.58%) ▼
5d: -3.24%
30d: -3.74%
90d: -5.08%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026 1d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MDV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MDV is currently trading at $17.01, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.29 to $18.09. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 131.6) is in line with its historical norms (122.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MDV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $17.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: MDV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $17.29 - $18.09
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 55.7%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($18.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -1.1% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $17.29 - $18.09
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.05
Resistance Level $18.28
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 131.62
Wall Street Target $18.67 (+9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.5%
Profit Margin 0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.5% premium
PE vs Historical 131.6 vs 122.4 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $17.54 (+3%)
2-Year Target $17.98 (+5%)
3-Year Target $18.43 (+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 132→122) PE COMPRESSION $17.14 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 131.6, Growth: 30.0%) $37.59 (+120%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 30.0%) $5.92 (-65%)
Bear: (PE: 17.6, Growth: 30.0%) $5.03 (-71%)
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Last updated: August 04, 2026 10:31 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:31 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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