Is MKC stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, MKC is currently a WAIT with low confidence. 📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

What is the fair value of MKC stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for MKC to be between $51.08 and $54.30. The current price is $55.41.

What is the analyst price target for MKC?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for MKC is $60.62. This implies a potential upside of 9.4% from current levels.

MKC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MKC - McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-VTG CS

MISCELLANEOUS FOOD PREPARATIONS & KINDRED PRODUCTS

$55.41

0.19 (0.34%) ▲

5d: +1.35%

30d: +10.4%

90d: +17.99%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

Protect Your MKC Gains

Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: Oct 06, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

Options positioning is turning defensive after a sharp run-up - a pattern consistent with institutional profit-taking. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $52.96 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026

Strength: 8.3/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MKC shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.

See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 6.8%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$74.20

Based on 5.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$46.07

Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.3x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MKC is currently trading at $55.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.08 to $54.30. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 16.8) is in line with its historical norms (17.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MKC is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $56.87. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MKC scores 10/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Historical Trading Range $51.08 - $54.30

Company Quality Score 29/100 (SELL)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 23.8%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BEARISH: Weak technical setup (10/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($60.62)
WARNING: Composite score 29/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $51.08 - $54.30

Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $52.03

Resistance Level $56.87

Current Trend Downtrend

Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 16.80

Wall Street Target $60.62 (+9.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.7%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -14.2%

Profit Margin 21.9%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.0% cheaper

PE vs Historical 16.8 vs 17.3 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $54.86 (-1%)

2-Year Target $54.31 (-2%)

3-Year Target $53.76 (-3%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 17→17) $55.36 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 6.8%) $80.68 (+46%)

Base: (SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 6.8%) $67.53 (+22%)

Bear: (PE: 14.3, Growth: 6.8%) $57.40 (+4%)

📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings

Trailing PE: 9.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.88

Bull Case $34.07 (-39%)

Analyst growth -43.9%, PE expands to 10.3

Base Case $30.97 (-44%)

Market implied -43.9%, PE stable at 9.4

Bear Case $37.55 (-32%)

Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.0

These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 17.3

Stabilization Target: $57.06 (+3.0%)

PE Expansion Potential: +3.0%

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Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:10 PM

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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INSIDERS BUYING

Recent Transactions

Gavin Hattersley BUY 2000 shares 2026-04-10

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Advanced MKC Option Strategies

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