MLR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MLR - Miller Industries, Inc.

TRUCK & BUS BODIES
$57.20
0.82 (1.45%) ▲
5d: +0.6%
30d: +11.68%
90d: +23.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MLR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$72.00
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$44.71
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MLR is currently trading at $57.20, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.99 to $55.55. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.6) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 15.7% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MLR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $57.76. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MLR scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $49.99 - $55.55
Company Quality Score 39/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 27.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($58.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 15.7% growth with 12.1% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 39/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $49.99 - $55.55
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $53.02
Resistance Level $57.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 20.58
Wall Street Target $58.00 (+1.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 12.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -13.7%
Profit Margin 1.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +15.7% premium
PE vs Historical 20.6 vs 13.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +15.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $66.18 (+16%)
2-Year Target $76.57 (+34%)
3-Year Target $88.59 (+55%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 21→13) PE COMPRESSION $57.27 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 42.6%) $165.74 (+190%)
Base: (SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 42.6%) $161.67 (+183%)
Bear: (PE: 13.3, Growth: 42.6%) $107.13 (+87%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (45x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 45.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.24
Bull Case $124.04 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case $112.76 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 45.5
Bear Case $38.34 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 38.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 2:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:07 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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