MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Services-Prepackaged Software
$70.36
-1.17 (-1.64%) ▼
5d: -9.29%
30d: -11.11%
90d: -4.73%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 6.6/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNDY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$186.14
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$115.58
39.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $70.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.76 to $85.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (19.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $74.00. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $108.12 (+53.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $72.76 - $85.30
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 53.7% below Wall St target ($108.12)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.3% 5-day decline

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $72.76 - $85.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $74.00
Resistance Level $97.30
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Jun 9, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.04
Wall Street Target $108.13 (+53.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 24.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 9.6%
Profit Margin 9.2%
Valuation Discount vs History -12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.0 vs 19.2 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -12.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $63.32 (-10%)
2-Year Target $56.99 (-19%)
3-Year Target $51.29 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→19) $75.52 (+7%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 21.8, Growth: 21.2%) $209.15 (+197%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.0, Growth: 21.2%) $125.23 (+78%)
Bear: (PE: 11.1, Growth: 21.2%) $106.44 (+51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 31.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.29
Bull Case $157.37 (+124%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 34.4
Base Case $143.06 (+103%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 31.2
Bear Case $48.64 (-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.0 to 19.2
Stabilization Target: $103.59 (+47.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +47.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 7:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:16 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.

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