MNDY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MNDY - monday.com Ltd. Ordinary Shares

Services-Prepackaged Software
$90.73
-0.57 (-0.62%) ▼
5d: +3.67%
30d: +26.47%
90d: +18.97%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your MNDY Gains
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 10, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →

Signal fired Aug 10, 2026 at $87.53 · last confirmed Aug 18, 2026

Strength: 7.9/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MNDY shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$224.98
Based on 13.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$139.70
35.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.3x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MNDY is currently trading at $90.73, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $78.37 to $90.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (18.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 163.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MNDY is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $80.22, while resistance sits at $95.15.

Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $109.00 (+20.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range $78.37 - $90.71
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.1% below Wall St target ($109.00)
  • NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $78.37 - $90.71
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $80.22
Resistance Level $95.15
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.58
Wall Street Target $109.00 (+20.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 163.9%
Profit Margin 8.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 18.3 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -9.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $82.20 (-9%)
2-Year Target $74.47 (-18%)
3-Year Target $67.47 (-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→18) $90.95 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 22.3%) $245.19 (+170%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.6, Growth: 22.3%) $165.85 (+83%)
Bear: (PE: 11.5, Growth: 22.3%) $140.97 (+55%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 38.69 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.36
Bull Case $200.86 (+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 42.6
Base Case $182.60 (+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 38.7
Bear Case $62.08 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 13.6 to 18.3
Stabilization Target: $122.30 (+34.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +34.8%
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Last updated: August 22, 2026 4:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:19 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced MNDY Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MNDY price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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