MNTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MNTN - MNTN, Inc.
$12.90
0.23 (1.82%)
▲
5d:
+3.04%
30d:
+54.31%
90d:
+58.48%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MNTN is 11.9% above its trading range ($11.53). Market expects 0.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: MNTN is 11.9% above its trading range ($11.53). Market expects 0.2% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.72
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.35
16.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MNTN is currently trading at $12.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $8.95 to $11.53. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.9) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $13.30.
Market Sentiment: MNTN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.10 (+40.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MNTN is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.95, while resistance sits at $13.30.
Market Sentiment: MNTN scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.10 (+40.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$8.95 -
$11.53
Company Quality Score
30/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.9% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 40.3% below Wall St target ($18.10)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 30/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$8.95 -
$11.53
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.95
Resistance Level
$13.30
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.88
Wall Street Target
$18.10
(+40.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
20.6%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.93
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$12.95
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$12.98
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.88
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 24.6%)
$50.76
(+294%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 24.6%)
$24.98
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 24.6%)
$21.23
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 7.20 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.76
Bull Case
$10.34
(-20%)
Analyst growth -25.8%, PE expands to 7.9
Base Case
$9.40
(-27%)
Market implied -25.8%, PE stable at 7.2
Bear Case
$8.62
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 12:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:21 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MNTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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