MODG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

MODG - Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp.

SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC
$14.68
0.08 (0.55%) ▲
5d: +8.1%
30d: +27.26%
90d: +57.85%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jan 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MODG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MODG is currently trading at $14.68, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.8) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MODG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MODG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.83. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($12.83)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -7.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $11.52
Resistance Level $15.02
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jan 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.80
Wall Street Target $12.83 (-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -65.6%
Profit Margin -37.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 35.8 vs 34.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.86 (+1%)
2-Year Target $15.03 (+2%)
3-Year Target $15.21 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→35) PE COMPRESSION $14.70 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: August 23, 2026 7:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:50 AM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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