MODG Topgolf Callaway Brands Corp. SPORTING & ATHLETIC GOODS, NEC

Topgolf Callaway Brands (MODG) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

$14.68
+0.08 (+0.55%) ▲
5d: +8.1% 30d: +27.26% 90d: +57.85%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (72%)
Quality Score
36/100
Position
FAIR
Forward P/E & Valuation
35.8x FAIR
vs 34.6x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$12.83
-12.6% vs target
Options IV & Volume
UNKNOWN Vol
UNKNOWN volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$11.52 / $15.02
Trend: Strong Uptrend
💡Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
â„šī¸ NEUTRAL: MODG is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 1.2% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$14.36
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.92
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: MODG is currently trading at $14.68, which is considered fair based on recent price action. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 35.8) is in line with its historical norms (34.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.2% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, MODG is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $15.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: MODG scores 60/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $12.83. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Company Quality Score 36/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation UNKNOWN
Confidence Score 72.4%

Trading Range & Key Levels

Support Level $11.52
Resistance Level $15.02
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jan 15, 2026

Quantitative Signal Breakdown

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.6% above Wall St target ($12.83)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.2% growth with -7.8% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 35.80
Wall Street Target $12.83 (-12.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -65.6%
Profit Margin -37.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.2% premium
PE vs Historical 35.8 vs 34.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $14.86 (+1%)
2-Year Target $15.03 (+2%)
3-Year Target $15.21 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 36→35) PE COMPRESSION $14.70 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MODG)

Bullish 1 Retail Mentions
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Jan 16, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary: A bullish trader on StockTwits bought $MODG, citing a changed investment thesis after the company sold off a significant portion of low-margin Top Golf business to focus on higher-margin operations.
Key Retail Themes: Company focusing on high-margin business Improved financial position
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams. View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 2:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Part A: Deep-Dive MODG Research Pages
MODG Technical Chart MODG Price Prediction MODG Intrinsic Value DCF MODG Earnings Date MODG Investment Advisor MODG Fair Price Analyzer MODG Competitors
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