MRTN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MRTN - Marten Transport Ltd
$17.15
0.23 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-3.49%
30d:
+3.38%
90d:
+34.62%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 15, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MRTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MRTN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$22.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.21
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MRTN is currently trading at $17.15, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.65 to $17.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 36.5) is in line with its historical norms (34.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MRTN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $19.00 (+10.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.65 -
$17.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($19.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.1% growth with -8.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.65 -
$17.90
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.95
Resistance Level
$18.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.49
Wall Street Target
$19.00
(+10.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.1%
Profit Margin
1.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
36.5 vs 34.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.51
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$17.88
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$18.25
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→34)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.5, Growth: 113.6%)
$57.88
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 113.6%)
$34.55
(+101%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 113.6%)
$29.37
(+71%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 17.64 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.97
Bull Case
$20.71
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 18.5
Base Case
$17.15
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 17.6
Bear Case
$13.12
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 15.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 5:11 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:11 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MRTN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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