MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$256.48
4.34 (1.72%)
▲
5d:
+10.9%
30d:
+25.1%
90d:
+77.53%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 16, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$276.98
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$171.98
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $256.48, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $205.90 to $237.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.5) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.3% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $211.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $211.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$205.90 -
$237.26
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.1% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 17.7% above Wall St target ($211.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 14.3% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$205.90 -
$237.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.96
Resistance Level
$234.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.47
Wall Street Target
$211.00
(-17.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.3% premium
PE vs Historical
34.5 vs 23.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$293.16
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$335.08
(+31%)
3-Year Target
$382.99
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$256.64
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$402.93
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 16.2%)
$254.57
(-1%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 16.2%)
$216.39
(-16%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 39.22 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.54
Bull Case
$309.70
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$256.48
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$196.21
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 35.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 17, 2026 3:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:46 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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