MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$247.26
1.26 (0.51%)
▲
5d:
+12.01%
30d:
+17.16%
90d:
+81.82%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$274.58
Based on 10.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$170.50
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $247.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $202.99 to $231.08. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.2) compared to its historical average (22.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 13.1% annual earnings growth. This is a high bar to clear, indicating the stock may be priced for perfection.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $211.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $211.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$202.99 -
$231.08
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
42.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.0% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 14.7% above Wall St target ($211.00)
- BEARISH: Market expects 13.1% growth - appears too optimistic based on history
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$202.99 -
$231.08
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.96
Resistance Level
$234.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.23
Wall Street Target
$211.00
(-14.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+13.1% premium
PE vs Historical
33.2 vs 22.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+13.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$279.65
(+13%)
2-Year Target
$316.29
(+28%)
3-Year Target
$357.72
(+45%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 33→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$246.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.2, Growth: 16.2%)
$388.45
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 16.2%)
$256.21
(+4%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 16.2%)
$217.78
(-12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (33x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 35.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.87
Bull Case
$298.57
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 37.8
Base Case
$247.26
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.0
Bear Case
$189.15
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 15, 2026 8:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:34 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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