Materion (MTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$220.62
-29.60 (-11.83%)
▼
5d:
-12.51%
30d:
-13.39%
90d:
-8.46%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
12d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTRN is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTRN is down 12.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.99
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.73
4.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $220.62, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $240.58 to $286.33. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 29.7) compared to its historical average (26.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $213.79, while resistance sits at $289.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $213.79, while resistance sits at $289.67. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 40/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+21.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$240.58 -
$286.33
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.8%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.4% below Wall St target ($303.75)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$240.58 -
$286.33
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$213.79
Resistance Level
$289.67
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.67
Wall Street Target
$303.75
(+21.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
29.7 vs 26.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$259.48
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$269.08
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$279.03
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→27)
PE COMPRESSION
$250.16
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.7, Growth: 20.1%)
$433.81
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$290.37
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 20.1%)
$246.82
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.43
Bull Case
$302.14
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$250.22
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$191.42
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 3:32 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:32 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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