Materion (MTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$257.51
5.84 (2.32%)
▲
5d:
+7.05%
30d:
-9.09%
90d:
+4.68%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 11, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MTRN trades at premium valuation expecting 5.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.99
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $257.51, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $233.64 to $277.56. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 30.5) compared to its historical average (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $261.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $261.24. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 58/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $303.75 (+18.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$233.64 -
$277.56
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (58/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($303.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 5.7% growth which is achievable
- NEUTRAL: Bottoming setup forming (58/100) — watch for confirmation
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$233.64 -
$277.56
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.89
Resistance Level
$261.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 11, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
30.53
Wall Street Target
$303.75
(+18.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.7% premium
PE vs Historical
30.5 vs 25.9
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$272.19
(+6%)
2-Year Target
$287.70
(+12%)
3-Year Target
$304.10
(+18%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$257.94
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 30.5, Growth: 20.1%)
$446.45
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$294.91
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.1%)
$250.67
(-3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.73
Bull Case
$310.94
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.0
Base Case
$257.51
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.5
Bear Case
$197.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 12, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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