MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$231.96
-0.76 (-0.33%)
▼
5d:
-18.08%
30d:
-6.7%
90d:
+10.39%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTRN is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: MTRN is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$367.30
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$228.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $231.96, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.99 to $278.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $225.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $301.19 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $225.58. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $301.19 (+29.8%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$221.99 -
$278.95
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.8% below Wall St target ($301.19)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.99 -
$278.95
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$225.58
Resistance Level
$295.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.65
Wall Street Target
$301.19
(+29.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.5% premium
PE vs Historical
27.7 vs 25.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$237.76
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$243.70
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$249.80
(+8%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$232.20
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.6, Growth: 20.0%)
$400.43
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.0%)
$290.68
(+25%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 20.0%)
$247.08
(+7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 36.50 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.36
Bull Case
$280.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 38.3
Base Case
$231.96
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 36.5
Bear Case
$177.45
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 32.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:10 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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