Materion (MTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$210.51
+9.07 (+4.50%)
▲
5d:
+12.42%
30d:
-22.56%
90d:
-25.45%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
MODERATE Confidence (95%)
Quality Score
56/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$204.79 – $275.43
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
23.9x
FAIR
vs 26.5x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$264.50
+25.6% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$173.89 / $245.23
Trend: Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MTRN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$394.77
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$245.12
14.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $210.51, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.79 to $275.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.9) is in line with its historical norms (26.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.89, while resistance sits at $245.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.50 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $173.89, while resistance sits at $245.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 65/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $264.50 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$204.79 -
$275.43
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
95.2%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$204.79 -
$275.43
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$173.89
Resistance Level
$245.23
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (65/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($264.50)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 65/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.90
Wall Street Target
$264.50
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
48.4%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.9 vs 26.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$203.35
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$196.44
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$189.76
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→27)
$210.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.9, Growth: 21.1%)
$373.43
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.9, Growth: 21.1%)
$310.27
(+47%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.9, Growth: 21.1%)
$263.73
(+25%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 41.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.88
Bull Case
$399.88
(+90%)
Analyst growth 80.5%, PE expands to 45.4
Base Case
$363.53
(+73%)
Market implied 80.5%, PE stable at 41.3
Bear Case
$136.98
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 35.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.9 to 26.5
Stabilization Target:
$233.38
(+10.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+10.9%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (MTRN)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Nov 5, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
Materion Corporation reported record quarterly results, driven by strong demand in high-growth end markets such as semiconductors and aerospace, with CEO Jugal Vijayvargiya highlighting all-time highs in value-added sales, earnings, incoming orders, and backlog.
Key Retail Themes:
record quarterly results
broad-based demand in high-growth end markets
competitive advantages
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 6:16 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:16 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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