MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$246.75
-10.91 (-4.23%)
▼
5d:
-5.75%
30d:
+10.13%
90d:
+51.07%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRN trades at premium valuation expecting 11.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: MTRN trades at premium valuation expecting 11.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$302.21
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$187.65
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $246.75, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $236.92 to $278.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 34.3) compared to its historical average (24.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $234.05. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$236.92 -
$278.90
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
69.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($252.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 11.8% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.7% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$236.92 -
$278.90
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$216.96
Resistance Level
$234.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.26
Wall Street Target
$252.67
(-1.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.8% premium
PE vs Historical
34.3 vs 24.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$288.06
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$322.06
(+25%)
3-Year Target
$360.06
(+40%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$257.46
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.3, Growth: 17.0%)
$412.16
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$262.00
(+2%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$222.70
(-14%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (34x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.61 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.67
Bull Case
$311.12
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 40.5
Base Case
$257.66
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.6
Bear Case
$197.11
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 13, 2026 4:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:21 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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