MTRN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$210.84
2.73 (1.31%)
▲
5d:
-12.52%
30d:
-25.64%
90d:
+14.71%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTRN is fairly valued with market pricing in 3.5% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$317.10
Based on 10.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$196.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $210.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $226.04 to $276.34. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.8) compared to its historical average (25.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $188.51, while resistance sits at $256.99.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.67 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $188.51, while resistance sits at $256.99.
Market Sentiment: MTRN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $252.67 (+19.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$226.04 -
$276.34
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($252.67)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-12.5%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$226.04 -
$276.34
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$188.51
Resistance Level
$256.99
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.75
Wall Street Target
$252.67
(+19.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.2%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.5% premium
PE vs Historical
27.8 vs 25.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$218.22
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$225.86
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$233.76
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→25)
PE COMPRESSION
$210.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$344.97
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 17.8%)
$257.70
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 17.8%)
$219.05
(+4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.24 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.21
Bull Case
$254.59
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$210.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.2
Bear Case
$161.29
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregory R Chemnitz
SELL
4517 shares
2026-03-03
Melissa A Fashinpaur
SELL
309 shares
2026-03-03
Shelly Marie Chadwick
SELL
2539 shares
2026-03-03
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