Materion (MTRN) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRN - Materion Corporation
$285.14
15.55 (5.77%)
▲
5d:
+11.32%
30d:
+21.76%
90d:
+7.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: MTRN shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$369.99
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$229.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRN is currently trading at $285.14, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $237.02 to $262.43. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 33.8) compared to its historical average (26.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $288.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $288.40. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTRN scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$237.02 -
$262.43
Company Quality Score
37/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
22.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.7% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($303.75)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 8.9% growth which is achievable
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$237.02 -
$262.43
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$247.25
Resistance Level
$288.40
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
33.81
Wall Street Target
$303.75
(+6.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
42.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.1%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.9% premium
PE vs Historical
33.8 vs 26.2
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$310.52
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$338.15
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$368.25
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 34→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$285.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 33.8, Growth: 20.1%)
$494.36
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.4, Growth: 20.1%)
$298.27
(+5%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.3, Growth: 20.1%)
$253.53
(-11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 29.67 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.61
Bull Case
$344.31
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.2
Base Case
$285.14
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.7
Bear Case
$218.13
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 8:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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