MTRX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTRX - Matrix Service Co
$12.46
0.17 (1.38%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-7.5%
90d:
+2.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Sep 09, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTRX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MTRX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.65
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.45
7.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTRX is currently trading at $12.46, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.75 to $13.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 17.9) compared to its historical average (16.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+60.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTRX is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $12.70. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+60.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.75 -
$13.85
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 60.5% below Wall St target ($20.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.75 -
$13.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.84
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.70
Resistance Level
$14.28
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.93
Wall Street Target
$20.00
(+60.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
175.0%
Profit Margin
-1.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.9% premium
PE vs Historical
17.9 vs 16.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.95
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$13.45
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$13.98
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.47
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 178.0%)
$51.09
(+310%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.9, Growth: 178.0%)
$42.05
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.2, Growth: 178.0%)
$35.74
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTRX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Nancy E Austin
SELL
4193 shares
2026-02-18
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Advanced MTRX Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's MTRX price and gamma walls.
