MTZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MTZ - MasTec, Inc.
$360.21
-12.68 (-3.40%)
▼
5d:
-5.36%
30d:
+7.34%
90d:
-0.28%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
15d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: MTZ is fairly valued with market pricing in 0.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$559.38
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$347.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MTZ is currently trading at $360.21, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $357.44 to $398.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 31.4) is in line with its historical norms (31.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $339.00, while resistance sits at $394.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $480.21 (+33.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MTZ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $339.00, while resistance sits at $394.65. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: MTZ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $480.21 (+33.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$357.44 -
$398.38
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 33.3% below Wall St target ($480.21)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-5.4%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$357.44 -
$398.38
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$339.00
Resistance Level
$394.66
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
31.35
Wall Street Target
$480.21
(+33.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
34.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
508.0%
Profit Margin
2.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
31.4 vs 31.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$361.29
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$362.37
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$363.46
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 31→31)
PE COMPRESSION
$360.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 31.3, Growth: 29.9%)
$788.77
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 29.9%)
$547.99
(+52%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 29.9%)
$465.79
(+29%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (41x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (31x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 40.65 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.86
Bull Case
$434.95
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 42.7
Base Case
$360.21
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 40.7
Bear Case
$275.56
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 36.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 14, 2026 6:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MTZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Javier Alberto Palomarez
SELL
950 shares
2026-03-25
Ernst N Csiszar
SELL
6500 shares
2026-03-03
Markwayne Mullin
SELL
2026-02-04
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