NCMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCMI - National CineMedia, Inc.
$4.18
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+5.56%
30d:
+9.71%
90d:
+24.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCMI is currently trading at $4.18, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.78 to $4.02. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 29.9) compared to its historical average (34.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $4.27. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCMI has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+25.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$3.78 -
$4.02
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($5.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.78 -
$4.02
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.72
Resistance Level
$4.27
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.86
Wall Street Target
$5.25
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.9 vs 34.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$3.80
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$3.63
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 30→34)
$4.18
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.9 to 34.4
Stabilization Target:
$4.82
(+15.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:55 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:55 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Vg Woods
SELL
12066 shares
2026-04-01
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