NCMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCMI - National CineMedia, Inc.
$3.54
0.06 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
-2.88%
30d:
+18.23%
90d:
+10.12%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NCMI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 12.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCMI is currently trading at $3.54, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.11 to $3.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.0) compared to its historical average (35.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+50.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+50.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.11 -
$3.63
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 50.9% below Wall St target ($5.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.11 -
$3.63
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.00
Resistance Level
$3.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.00
Wall Street Target
$5.25
(+50.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 35.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.13
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.82
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.54
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→36)
$3.77
(+8%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.0 to 35.7
Stabilization Target:
$5.18
(+48.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+48.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 12:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:29 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Vg Woods
SELL
12066 shares
2026-04-01
Maria Vg Woods
SELL
9043 shares
2025-12-29
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