NCMI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCMI - National CineMedia, Inc.
$3.57
0.00 (0.00%)
▲
5d:
+17.43%
30d:
+5.93%
90d:
+0.28%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 12, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NCMI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.7% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NCMI appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.7% annual earnings decline despite 21% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCMI is currently trading at $3.57, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.01 to $3.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 24.6) compared to its historical average (36.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 20.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+47.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCMI is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $3.64. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCMI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $5.25 (+47.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$3.01 -
$3.57
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 47.1% below Wall St target ($5.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$3.01 -
$3.57
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$2.89
Resistance Level
$3.64
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.62
Wall Street Target
$5.25
(+47.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-2.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
20.8%
Profit Margin
-3.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 36.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$2.89
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$2.60
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→37)
$3.90
(+9%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 36.9
Stabilization Target:
$5.35
(+49.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+49.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:00 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:00 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NCMI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Maria Vg Woods
SELL
12066 shares
2026-04-01
Maria Vg Woods
SELL
9043 shares
2025-12-29
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