NCNO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NCNO - nCino, Inc. Common Stock
$20.90
0.27 (1.33%)
▲
5d:
+3.29%
30d:
+26.18%
90d:
+30.02%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 25, 2026
TODAY
Get Alerted When NCNO Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NCNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NCNO shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$29.12
Based on 8.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NCNO is currently trading at $20.89, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.61 to $20.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCNO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.36 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NCNO is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $21.22. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NCNO scores 0/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.36 (+13.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$17.61 -
$20.26
Company Quality Score
36/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
27.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NCNO? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (0/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($23.36)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 36/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.61 -
$20.26
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$18.58
Resistance Level
$21.22
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.10
Wall Street Target
$23.36
(+13.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
147.6%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
20.1 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.11
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$21.62
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$22.14
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$20.60
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$30.11
(+46%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$30.08
(+46%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 13.5%)
$25.56
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 14.60 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.41
Bull Case
$24.90
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$20.62
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 14.6
Bear Case
$15.77
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 13.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NCNO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeanette Sellers
SELL
1873 shares
2026-04-14
Sean Desmond
SELL
15440 shares
2026-04-06
Gregory Orenstein
SELL
8840 shares
2026-04-02
Top Rated Software - Application Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Application by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
HUBS
HubSpot Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$243 | 44 HOLD |
|
NOW
ServiceNow Inc |
STRONG BUY
47 analysts |
$142 | 42 HOLD |
|
GRAB
Grab Holdings Ltd |
STRONG BUY
27 analysts |
$6 | 46 HOLD |
|
SHOP
Shopify Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$171 | 43 HOLD |
|
DT
Dynatrace Holdings LLC |
STRONG BUY
34 analysts |
$59 | 39 SELL |
Advanced NCNO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NCNO price and gamma walls.
