NL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$6.47
0.03 (0.47%)
▲
5d:
+0.47%
30d:
+11.74%
90d:
-6.91%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $6.47, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.79 to $6.42. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.4) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.15, while resistance sits at $6.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $6.15, while resistance sits at $6.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$5.79 -
$6.42
Company Quality Score
48/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.8%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 48/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.79 -
$6.42
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.15
Resistance Level
$6.81
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.42
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-7.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2421.0%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.3% premium
PE vs Historical
7.4 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.62
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.77
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$6.93
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 22, 2026 8:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:31 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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