NL Industries (NL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$7.07
0.11 (1.58%)
▲
5d:
+0.43%
30d:
+5.21%
90d:
+12.58%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.67
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $7.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.66 to $7.04. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.1) compared to its historical average (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $7.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 37/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.66 -
$7.04
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (37/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.1% above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.66 -
$7.04
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.50
Resistance Level
$7.15
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.11
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-15.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2421.0%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.8% premium
PE vs Historical
8.1 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.41
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$7.77
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$8.14
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.13
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 02, 2026 5:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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