NL
NL Industries, Inc.
INDUSTRIAL INORGANIC CHEMICALS
NL Industries (NL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$7.15
-0.17 (-2.32%)
▼
5d:
+4.53%
30d:
+6.08%
90d:
+6.4%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (20%)
Quality Score
43/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$6.68 – $7.10
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.2x
FAIR
vs 7.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$6.00
-16.1% vs target
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$6.71 / $7.76
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: NL shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.80
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $7.15, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.68 to $7.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (7.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.71, while resistance sits at $7.76.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $6.71, while resistance sits at $7.76.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 25/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $6.00. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.10
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
20.0%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$6.68 -
$7.10
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$6.71
Resistance Level
$7.76
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 16.1% above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.6% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 43/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2421.0%
Profit Margin
-3.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.6% premium
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 7.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.48
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$7.82
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$8.18
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$7.19
(+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share NL Analysis
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (NL)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bearish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 30, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
There is a bullish sentiment on $NL on StockTwits with one user reporting a pop in the stock price in the afternoon. No relevant news articles were found.
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 11, 2026 9:36 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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