NL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$5.99
0.08 (1.35%)
▲
5d:
-29.69%
30d:
+1.53%
90d:
-5.37%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
Get Alerted When NL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NL is down 29.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NL is down 29.7% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.43
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.23
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $5.99, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.70 to $7.20. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.9) is in line with its historical norms (6.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 551.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.65, while resistance sits at $8.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $5.65, while resistance sits at $8.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$5.70 -
$7.20
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($6.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -29.7% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.70 -
$7.20
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$5.65
Resistance Level
$8.60
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.87
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
551.1%
Profit Margin
-21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.9 vs 6.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$5.98
(0%)
2-Year Target
$5.97
(0%)
3-Year Target
$5.95
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$5.98
(0%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.9 to 6.9
Stabilization Target:
$6.02
(+0.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 04, 2026 1:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Security & Protection Services Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Security & Protection Services by analyst ratings.
