NL Industries (NL) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NL - NL Industries, Inc.
$6.58
-0.14 (-2.08%)
▼
5d:
-3.24%
30d:
-6.93%
90d:
+13.64%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Nov 05, 2026
13d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.67
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.39
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NL is currently trading at $6.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.75 to $7.05. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 7.5) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NL is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.54. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NL scores 61/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$6.75 -
$7.05
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (61/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($6.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 61/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$6.75 -
$7.05
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.54
Resistance Level
$7.14
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Oct 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.55
Wall Street Target
$6.00
(-8.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2421.0%
Profit Margin
-15.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
7.6 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$6.71
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$6.85
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$6.98
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→7)
PE COMPRESSION
$6.57
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 22, 2026 9:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:25 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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