NPK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPK - National Presto Industries, Inc.
$129.84
-0.15 (-0.12%)
▼
5d:
-2.09%
30d:
-6.11%
90d:
-1.32%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPK shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.6% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.15
Based on 10.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.45
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPK is currently trading at $129.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $129.02 to $139.80. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 149.2) is in line with its historical norms (146.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.72, while resistance sits at $135.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $18.93. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPK is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $124.72, while resistance sits at $135.24.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $18.93. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$129.02 -
$139.80
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 85.4% above Wall St target ($18.93)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.6% growth with 14.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$129.02 -
$139.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$124.72
Resistance Level
$135.24
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 12, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
149.24
Wall Street Target
$18.93
(-85.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-13.2%
Profit Margin
6.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.6% premium
PE vs Historical
149.2 vs 146.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$130.62
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$131.40
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$132.19
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 149→146)
PE COMPRESSION
$129.67
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 149.2, Growth: 17.6%)
$210.99
(+63%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.9, Growth: 17.6%)
$30.99
(-76%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.6, Growth: 17.6%)
$26.34
(-80%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 29.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $4.48
Bull Case
$71.49
(-45%)
Analyst growth -50.0%, PE expands to 31.9
Base Case
$64.99
(-50%)
Market implied -50.0%, PE stable at 29.0
Bear Case
$88.39
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 13, 2026 9:01 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:01 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Randy F Lieble
SELL
2417 shares
2026-03-11
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