NXPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXPI - NXP Semiconductors N.V.
$277.02
-21.62 (-7.24%)
▼
5d:
-11.57%
30d:
-15.86%
90d:
+40.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 26, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
30d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.9/10
Get Alerted When NXPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXPI is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: NXPI is down 11.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$464.25
Based on 11.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$288.26
3.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXPI is currently trading at $277.02, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $293.56 to $321.81. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 15.6) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $278.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $307.38 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $278.84. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $307.38 (+11.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$293.56 -
$321.81
Company Quality Score
45/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
Protect Your Profits
Holding NXPI? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($307.38)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$293.56 -
$321.81
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$278.84
Resistance Level
$327.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 26, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.64
Wall Street Target
$307.38
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
130.7%
Profit Margin
21.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.6 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$280.07
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$283.15
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$286.26
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$276.34
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 19.6%)
$660.31
(+138%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.6, Growth: 19.6%)
$474.23
(+71%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.3, Growth: 19.6%)
$403.09
(+46%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.47
Bull Case
$555.66
(+101%)
Analyst growth 69.1%, PE expands to 31.4
Base Case
$505.14
(+82%)
Market implied 69.1%, PE stable at 28.5
Bear Case
$203.08
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 26, 2026 7:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NXPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Andrew Micallef
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-02-05
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$524 | 54 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$946 | 61 BUY |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$239 | 55 HOLD |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$299 | 52 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$488 | 57 HOLD |
Advanced NXPI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXPI price and gamma walls.
