NXPI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NXPI - NXP Semiconductors N.V.
$228.50
6.10 (2.74%)
▲
5d:
+2.4%
30d:
-3.83%
90d:
-29.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Sep 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 26, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 24, 2026 at $222.44 · last confirmed Aug 31, 2026
Strength: 6.7/10
Get Alerted When NXPI Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NXPI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$474.17
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$294.42
22.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NXPI is currently trading at $228.50, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $221.87 to $242.95. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 72.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NXPI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $311.10 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NXPI is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $229.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: NXPI scores 63/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $311.10 (+36.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$221.87 -
$242.95
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (63/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 36.2% below Wall St target ($311.10)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 63/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$221.87 -
$242.95
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$217.30
Resistance Level
$229.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Sep 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.63
Wall Street Target
$311.10
(+36.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
72.6%
Profit Margin
22.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 14.9
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$216.16
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$204.49
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$193.45
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→15)
$228.26
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.2, Growth: 20.2%)
$635.10
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 20.2%)
$396.44
(+74%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 20.2%)
$336.97
(+48%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.73
Bull Case
$377.39
(+65%)
Analyst growth 54.3%, PE expands to 20.9
Base Case
$343.08
(+50%)
Market implied 54.3%, PE stable at 19.0
Bear Case
$151.23
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.9
Stabilization Target:
$269.62
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: September 03, 2026 1:23 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:23 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is NXPI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Andrew Micallef
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
Top Rated Semiconductors Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Semiconductors by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AVGO
Broadcom Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$526 | 73 BUY |
|
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation |
STRONG BUY
63 analysts |
$323 | 51 HOLD |
|
MU
Micron Technology Inc |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$1513 | 52 HOLD |
|
AMD
Advanced Micro Devices I… |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$614 | 60 BUY |
|
MRVL
Marvell Technology Group… |
STRONG BUY
37 analysts |
$279 | 44 HOLD |
Advanced NXPI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's NXPI price and gamma walls.
