ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$10.72
-0.13 (-1.20%)
▼
5d:
-4.88%
30d:
+5.3%
90d:
+9.95%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 8, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
20d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.21
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.41
25.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $10.72, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.64 to $11.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.4) compared to its historical average (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $11.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $10.02, while resistance sits at $11.53.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+21.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$10.64 -
$11.44
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($13.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.64 -
$11.44
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.02
Resistance Level
$11.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.44
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.4 vs 10.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.33
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.96
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$9.60
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$10.68
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 127.0%)
$83.43
(+678%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.4, Growth: 127.0%)
$36.18
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 127.0%)
$30.75
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.4 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$11.92
(+11.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 09, 2026 6:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Troiano
SELL
1662 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
18008 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
6345 shares
2026-02-11
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