ONEW
OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
RETAIL-AUTO & HOME SUPPLY STORES
OneWater Marine (ONEW) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.25
+0.35 (+3.54%)
▲
5d:
-3.39%
30d:
+12.89%
90d:
-16.05%
Open in Live Scanner
70/30 Portfolio Builder
Earnings: Nov 12, 2026
TODAY
Updated Nov 10, 12:00 AM ET
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
WAIT
LOW Confidence (56%)
Quality Score
38/100
Position
EXTENDED
30-Day Fair Range
$9.26 – $10.01
Position: EXTENDED
Forward P/E & Valuation
8.8x
CHEAP
vs 10.0x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$13.00
+31.3% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$9.21 / $11.46
Trend: Strong Downtrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: ONEW shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$21.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$13.64
24.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $10.25, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.26 to $10.01. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.8) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.21, while resistance sits at $11.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $9.21, while resistance sits at $11.46. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 41/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.00 (+31.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$9.26 -
$10.01
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$9.26 -
$10.01
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support Level
$9.21
Resistance Level
$11.46
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Nov 10, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (41/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($13.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.78
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.8 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.47
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$9.07
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$8.68
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→10)
$9.89
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 169.9%)
$75.61
(+664%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.8, Growth: 169.9%)
$33.41
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.5, Growth: 169.9%)
$28.40
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.8 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$11.28
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
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Last updated: November 11, 2026 10:16 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:16 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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