ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$11.91
0.50 (4.38%)
▲
5d:
+0.08%
30d:
-5.85%
90d:
+11.83%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ONEW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$25.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.69
24.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $11.91, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.85 to $13.06. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.70, while resistance sits at $13.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ONEW scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.33 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $10.70, while resistance sits at $13.23. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ONEW scores 78/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.33 (+12.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.85 -
$13.06
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
92.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (78/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.33)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 78/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.85 -
$13.06
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.70
Resistance Level
$13.23
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.64
Wall Street Target
$13.33
(+12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.56
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$11.23
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$10.90
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$11.88
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 165.2%)
$83.72
(+603%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 165.2%)
$40.20
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 165.2%)
$34.17
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 10.5
Stabilization Target:
$12.98
(+9.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 1:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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