ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$11.33
0.54 (5.00%)
▲
5d:
+2.26%
30d:
+11.74%
90d:
+35.04%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONEW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONEW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.93
12.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $11.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $10.48 to $11.31. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ONEW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.50 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $11.53. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ONEW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.50 (+19.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$10.48 -
$11.31
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
67.6%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($13.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$10.48 -
$11.31
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$10.02
Resistance Level
$11.53
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.13
Wall Street Target
$13.50
(+19.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
11.1 vs 10.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.56
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.79
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$12.02
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$11.35
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 105.0%)
$74.85
(+561%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.1, Growth: 105.0%)
$38.24
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 105.0%)
$32.50
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 19, 2026 2:10 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Troiano
SELL
1662 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
18008 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
6345 shares
2026-02-11
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