ONEW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ONEW - OneWater Marine Inc. Class A Common Stock
$12.25
-0.15 (-1.21%)
▼
5d:
-4.78%
30d:
+10.96%
90d:
+30.46%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONEW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ONEW shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.55
15.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ONEW is currently trading at $12.25, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.10 to $12.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.61, while resistance sits at $13.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ONEW is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $11.61, while resistance sits at $13.77.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$11.10 -
$12.97
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($13.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.7% growth with -8.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.10 -
$12.97
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.61
Resistance Level
$13.77
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.79
Wall Street Target
$13.00
(+6.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-8.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-34.3%
Profit Margin
-6.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.34
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$12.42
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$12.51
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$12.29
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 127.0%)
$79.41
(+548%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: 127.0%)
$41.34
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: 127.0%)
$35.14
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 9:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:49 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ONEW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
1
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
John Troiano
SELL
1662 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
18008 shares
2026-02-12
Philip Austin Jr. Single…
BUY
6345 shares
2026-02-11
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