OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$142.30
2.76 (1.98%)
▲
5d:
+5.37%
30d:
+13.12%
90d:
+1.31%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 07, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: OSK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.76
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.92
20.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $142.30, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $125.19 to $136.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.19 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $135.67. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: OSK has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $162.19 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$125.19 -
$136.52
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($162.19)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$125.19 -
$136.52
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$123.19
Resistance Level
$135.67
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.14
Wall Street Target
$162.19
(+14.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-60.5%
Profit Margin
5.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$140.17
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$138.06
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$135.99
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$142.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 27.8%)
$638.71
(+349%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 27.8%)
$297.28
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 27.8%)
$252.69
(+78%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (16x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.52 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.99
Bull Case
$239.67
(+68%)
Analyst growth 56.1%, PE expands to 17.1
Base Case
$217.88
(+53%)
Market implied 56.1%, PE stable at 15.5
Bear Case
$94.89
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.1 to 10.6
Stabilization Target:
$148.80
(+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:50 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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