OSK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
OSK - Oshkosh Corp.
$150.81
0.96 (0.64%)
â˛
5d:
-1.01%
30d:
+1.45%
90d:
+19.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 19, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OSK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: OSK is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 0.4% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$288.67
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.24
15.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: OSK is currently trading at $150.81, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $145.28 to $154.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $147.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.32 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, OSK is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $147.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: OSK scores 33/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $167.32 (+11.7%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$145.28 -
$154.60
Company Quality Score
42/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (33/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($167.32)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 6.7% revenue growth
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$145.28 -
$154.60
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$147.01
Resistance Level
$159.51
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 19, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.72
Wall Street Target
$167.32
(+11.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
5.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$150.45
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$151.05
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$151.66
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11â11)
PE COMPRESSION
$150.02
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 30.2%)
$619.08
(+313%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 30.2%)
$330.53
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 30.2%)
$280.95
(+88%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.73
Bull Case
$260.24
(+74%)
Analyst growth 60.2%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$236.58
(+58%)
Market implied 60.2%, PE stable at 16.9
Bear Case
$100.43
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 20, 2026 10:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:03 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is OSK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anupam Khare
SELL
4000 shares
2026-02-27
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