PARR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PARR - Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
$79.03
6.58 (9.08%)
â˛
5d:
-1.61%
30d:
+1.83%
90d:
+36.73%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PARR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: PARR is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -12.1% expected growth, valuation appears cheap. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.64
Based on -17.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.37
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PARR is currently trading at $79.03, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.70 to $82.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 6.1) compared to its historical average (9.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 699.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.64, while resistance sits at $83.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PARR scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $67.64, while resistance sits at $83.72. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 9.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PARR scores 18/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $83.00 (+14.6%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$71.70 -
$82.58
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
45.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (18/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+9.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($83.00)
- WARNING: Composite score 47/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$71.70 -
$82.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.64
Resistance Level
$83.72
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.13
Wall Street Target
$83.00
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
56.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
699.1%
Profit Margin
9.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.1 vs 9.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$58.68
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$52.82
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6â9)
$77.53
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: -38.7%)
$172.90
(+139%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.1, Growth: -38.7%)
$52.82
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.2, Growth: -38.7%)
$44.89
(-38%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 4.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.04
Bull Case
$58.84
(-26%)
Analyst growth -30.7%, PE expands to 5.0
Base Case
$53.49
(-32%)
Market implied -30.7%, PE stable at 4.5
Bear Case
$52.45
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.1 to 9.0
Stabilization Target:
$106.35
(+46.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 10:57 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:57 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William Monteleone
SELL
108948 shares
2026-03-16
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