PARR
Par Pacific Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
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Par Pacific (PARR) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$73.11
+1.93 (+2.71%)
▲
5d:
+6.43%
30d:
-17.55%
90d:
-8.98%
QUANTITATIVE VERDICT
BUY
HIGH Confidence (91%)
Quality Score
70/100
Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
30-Day Fair Range
$71.43 – $85.80
Position: SLIGHTLY LOW
Forward P/E & Valuation
4.3x
CHEAP
vs 8.2x historical avg
Wall Street Target
$95.25
+33.8% upside
Options IV & Volume
HIGH Vol
HIGH volume confirmation
Support / Resistance
$65.04 / $76.46
Trend: Strong Uptrend
Executive Thesis & Bottom Line
Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PARR appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -19.5% annual earnings decline despite 38% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$49.09
Based on -17.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.48
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PARR is currently trading at $73.11, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.43 to $85.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.3) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 19.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 37.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.04, while resistance sits at $76.46.
Market Sentiment: PARR scores 95/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.25 (+33.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PARR is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $65.04, while resistance sits at $76.46.
Market Sentiment: PARR scores 95/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge — the chart has corrected and is stabilizing (RSI reset, momentum turning up), historically a favorable entry zone. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.25 (+33.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$71.43 -
$85.80
Company Quality Score
70/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.5%
Trading Range & Key Levels
30-Day Trading Range
$71.43 -
$85.80
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support Level
$65.04
Resistance Level
$76.46
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Nov 11, 2026
Quantitative Signal Breakdown
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (95/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.8% below Wall St target ($95.25)
- BULLISH: Bottoming setup score 95/100 — corrected, stabilizing, and turning up
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.27
Wall Street Target
$95.25
(+33.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
51.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
37.8%
Profit Margin
9.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-19.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.3 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-19.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$64.06
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$57.66
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$51.89
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→8)
$99.70
(+40%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: -38.3%)
$241.46
(+239%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.3, Growth: -38.3%)
$51.89
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.6, Growth: -38.3%)
$44.11
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 3.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $19.08
Bull Case
$64.46
(-9%)
Analyst growth -12.6%, PE expands to 3.9
Base Case
$58.60
(-18%)
Market implied -12.6%, PE stable at 3.5
Bear Case
$45.59
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 3.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.3 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$136.76
(+92.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+92.1%
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bloggers & journalists: you are free to use our charts with attribution.Reddit & Retail Trader Sentiment (PARR)
Bullish
2 Retail Mentions
Reddit / WSB Comments
1
Bullish
StockTwits Volume
1 msgs
24h retail stream
Last Tracked
Oct 27, 2026
Daily AI digest
AI Retail Discussion Summary:
A financial analyst used Stock Meadow's scoring model with the Value style to rank energy companies, with $PARR ranking third.
Key Retail Themes:
Value investing
Energy sector ranking
Aggregated from r/wallstreetbets, r/stocks & StockTwits streams.
View All Trending Reddit & WSB Stocks →
Last updated: November 12, 2026 1:19 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PARR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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