PED Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PED - PEDEVCO Corp.
$12.35
0.31 (2.53%)
▲
5d:
+2.45%
30d:
-12.76%
90d:
-20.46%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PED shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.49
Based on 9.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.10
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PED is currently trading at $12.35, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $12.40 to $14.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.9) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PED has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+49.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PED is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $12.68. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: PED has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+49.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$12.40 -
$14.48
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 49.5% below Wall St target ($18.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$12.40 -
$14.48
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$12.68
Resistance Level
$14.47
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.86
Wall Street Target
$18.00
(+49.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
360.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.3%
Profit Margin
-46.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.9 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$11.92
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$11.86
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$12.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 15.7%)
$27.33
(+127%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.9, Growth: 15.7%)
$18.65
(+55%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 15.7%)
$15.86
(+32%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.9 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$12.23
(+1.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 11:33 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PED showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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