PFGC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PFGC - Performance Food Group Company
$112.99
-1.37 (-1.20%)
▼
5d:
-2.2%
30d:
-0.66%
90d:
+29.96%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 12, 2026
7d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PFGC trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: PFGC trades at premium valuation expecting 7.6% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.51
Based on 14.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$110.22
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 16.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PFGC is currently trading at $112.99, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $108.36 to $114.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 20.0) compared to its historical average (16.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.32, while resistance sits at $117.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PFGC is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $108.32, while resistance sits at $117.47.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$108.36 -
$114.71
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
49.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($123.31)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 7.6% growth with 6.4% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$108.36 -
$114.71
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$108.32
Resistance Level
$117.48
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.03
Wall Street Target
$123.31
(+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-27.8%
Profit Margin
0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+7.6% premium
PE vs Historical
20.0 vs 16.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+7.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$123.05
(+8%)
2-Year Target
$132.40
(+16%)
3-Year Target
$142.47
(+25%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→16)
PE COMPRESSION
$114.51
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 24.6%)
$228.74
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.0, Growth: 24.6%)
$221.01
(+93%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.1, Growth: 24.6%)
$177.65
(+55%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 24.39 | Forward EPS (Implied): $4.69
Bull Case
$138.09
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$114.36
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case
$87.49
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 22.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 9:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PFGC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Chasity D Grosh
SELL
1843 shares
2026-02-10
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