POOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$194.84
-0.77 (-0.39%)
▼
5d:
+1.99%
30d:
+7.24%
90d:
-5.08%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
28d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: POOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: POOL shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.8% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$307.70
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$191.06
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $194.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.43 to $191.44. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.2) compared to its historical average (18.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+31.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+31.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$178.43 -
$191.44
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.3% below Wall St target ($255.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.43 -
$191.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$176.80
Resistance Level
$194.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.19
Wall Street Target
$255.91
(+31.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.2 vs 18.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$185.49
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$176.58
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$168.11
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 16→19)
$195.26
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$336.31
(+73%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.2, Growth: 8.7%)
$249.93
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$212.44
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (16x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.88
Bull Case
$238.07
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 19.8
Base Case
$216.43
(+11%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 18.0
Bear Case
$133.02
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.2 to 18.8
Stabilization Target:
$226.31
(+16.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 2:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
De La Mesa Manuel J Perez
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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