POOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$195.58
9.87 (5.31%)
▲
5d:
+5.94%
30d:
-10.89%
90d:
-6.01%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POOL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POOL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -3.6% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$289.07
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$179.49
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $195.58, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $193.64 to $213.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.6) compared to its historical average (18.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.52, while resistance sits at $204.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.36 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $178.52, while resistance sits at $204.40. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $220.36 (+12.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$193.64 -
$213.57
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
81.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($220.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$193.64 -
$213.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$178.52
Resistance Level
$204.40
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.55
Wall Street Target
$220.36
(+12.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Profit Margin
7.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.6 vs 18.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$188.54
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$181.75
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$175.21
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$195.88
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$304.06
(+56%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.5, Growth: 7.5%)
$242.72
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.1, Growth: 7.5%)
$206.31
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.88
Bull Case
$221.91
(+14%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 18.8
Base Case
$201.74
(+3%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 17.1
Bear Case
$126.28
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.5 to 18.5
Stabilization Target:
$218.65
(+11.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 2:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
De La Mesa Manuel J Perez
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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