POOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$180.69
1.09 (0.61%)
▲
5d:
-2.02%
30d:
-11.09%
90d:
-17.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
Get Alerted When POOL Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
2 traders called POOL this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POOL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: POOL trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -7.7% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$312.61
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$194.11
6.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $180.69, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $175.60 to $202.58. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.0) compared to its historical average (19.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.01, while resistance sits at $190.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $175.01, while resistance sits at $190.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+41.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$175.60 -
$202.58
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
49th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 49th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 41.6% below Wall St target ($255.91)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$175.60 -
$202.58
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$10.41
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$175.01
Resistance Level
$190.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.01
Wall Street Target
$255.91
(+41.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.0 vs 19.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$166.78
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$153.94
(-15%)
3-Year Target
$142.08
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→19)
$180.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.7%)
$338.32
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.0, Growth: 8.7%)
$231.78
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$197.01
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 16.95 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.88
Bull Case
$224.43
(+22%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 18.6
Base Case
$204.03
(+11%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 17.0
Bear Case
$125.40
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.0 to 19.1
Stabilization Target:
$229.92
(+27.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+27.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 5:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
De La Mesa Manuel J Perez
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
Top Rated Industrial Distribution Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Industrial Distribution by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
FERG
Ferguson Plc |
BUY
24 analysts |
$284 | 63 BUY |
|
CNM
Core & Main Inc |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$61 | 59 HOLD |
|
WCC
WESCO International Inc |
STRONG BUY
11 analysts |
$374 | 54 HOLD |
|
AIT
Applied Industrial Techn… |
STRONG BUY
8 analysts |
$330 | 55 HOLD |
|
GWW
WW Grainger Inc |
SELL
18 analysts |
$1266 | 65 BUY |
Advanced POOL Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's POOL price and gamma walls.
