POOL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
POOL - Pool Corporation
$205.36
10.52 (5.40%)
▲
5d:
+3.68%
30d:
+11.22%
90d:
+1.04%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
27d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: POOL is 7.3% above its trading range ($191.44). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: POOL is 7.3% above its trading range ($191.44). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$306.06
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$190.04
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: POOL is currently trading at $205.36, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.43 to $191.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (18.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 2.1% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, POOL is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $194.78. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: POOL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $255.91 (+24.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$178.43 -
$191.44
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
Protect Your Profits
Holding POOL? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.6% below Wall St target ($255.91)
- CAUTION: Extended 7.3% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.43 -
$191.44
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$176.80
Resistance Level
$194.78
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.06
Wall Street Target
$255.91
(+24.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Profit Margin
7.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 18.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$198.99
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$192.83
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$186.85
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$204.81
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 8.7%)
$336.31
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.7%)
$263.42
(+28%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$223.91
(+9%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.88
Bull Case
$237.13
(+16%)
Analyst growth 10.6%, PE expands to 19.7
Base Case
$215.57
(+5%)
Market implied 10.6%, PE stable at 17.9
Bear Case
$132.49
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 18.7
Stabilization Target:
$225.11
(+9.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 25, 2026 1:37 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:37 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is POOL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-23
De La Mesa Manuel J Perez
BUY
5000 shares
2026-03-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-10
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