PR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PR - Permian Resources Corporation
$23.75
-0.12 (-0.50%)
▼
5d:
+10.47%
30d:
+11.14%
90d:
+16.25%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: PR shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.18
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.46
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PR is currently trading at $23.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.89 to $22.15. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.0) is in line with its historical norms (11.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 232.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PR is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $24.09. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PR scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$19.89 -
$22.15
Company Quality Score
38/100
(SELL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
19.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.2% above its trading range)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($25.63)
- WARNING: Composite score 38/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$19.89 -
$22.15
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.47
Resistance Level
$24.09
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.98
Wall Street Target
$25.63
(+7.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
55.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
232.9%
Profit Margin
21.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.0 vs 11.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.44
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$23.14
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$22.84
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$23.71
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.1, Growth: 12.0%)
$43.58
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$23.84
(+0%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.3, Growth: 12.0%)
$20.26
(-15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 14.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.60
Bull Case
$34.24
(+44%)
Analyst growth 35.2%, PE expands to 15.8
Base Case
$31.13
(+31%)
Market implied 35.2%, PE stable at 14.4
Bear Case
$15.65
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.0 to 11.4
Stabilization Target:
$24.66
(+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 24, 2026 9:21 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:21 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is PR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
13
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Quinn
SELL
512429 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
7750 shares
2026-03-18
Aron Marquez
SELL
5250 shares
2026-03-17
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