PSX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PSX - PHILLIPS 66
$184.68
2.12 (1.16%)
▲
5d:
+5.76%
30d:
+3.48%
90d:
+12.12%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: PSX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: PSX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$200.20
Based on -0.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$124.31
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PSX is currently trading at $184.68, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $170.68 to $180.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.8) is in line with its historical norms (11.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PSX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $187.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PSX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$170.68 -
$180.47
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($190.58)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$170.68 -
$180.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$170.02
Resistance Level
$187.52
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.84
Wall Street Target
$190.58
(+3.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-56.8%
Profit Margin
3.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.8 vs 11.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$178.95
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$173.41
(-6%)
3-Year Target
$168.03
(-9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→12)
$184.39
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: -4.4%)
$326.00
(+77%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.8, Growth: -4.4%)
$161.35
(-13%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.2, Growth: -4.4%)
$137.15
(-26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.24 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.13
Bull Case
$313.54
(+77%)
Analyst growth 63.2%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$285.03
(+61%)
Market implied 63.2%, PE stable at 17.2
Bear Case
$118.75
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.8 to 11.9
Stabilization Target:
$202.66
(+9.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+9.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 03, 2026 9:23 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:23 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PSX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
8
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin J Mitchell
SELL
15629 shares
2026-03-30
Kevin Omar Meyers
BUY
175 shares
2026-03-17
Lisa Ann Davis
SELL
3800 shares
2026-03-13
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