QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QXO - QXO, Inc.
$14.09
0.79 (5.94%)
▲
5d:
-0.28%
30d:
-13.08%
90d:
-28.91%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
8d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -18.9% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.44
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.01
36.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $14.09, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.54 to $16.38. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 19.4) compared to its historical average (36.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.9% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.18, while resistance sits at $15.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+109.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.18, while resistance sits at $15.06. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.50 (+109.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$13.54 -
$16.38
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.3%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 109.4% below Wall St target ($29.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$13.54 -
$16.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$13.18
Resistance Level
$15.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.35
Wall Street Target
$29.50
(+109.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12716.3%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-18.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.4 vs 36.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-18.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$12.68
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$11.41
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$10.27
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→36)
$19.26
(+37%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 138.5%)
$50.93
(+262%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.4, Growth: 138.5%)
$47.55
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.5, Growth: 138.5%)
$40.42
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.4 to 36.3
Stabilization Target:
$26.43
(+87.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+87.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 6:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:27 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.
