QXO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
QXO - QXO, Inc.
$16.93
0.71 (4.38%)
▲
5d:
-0.47%
30d:
+1.56%
90d:
-16.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: QXO trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -16.3% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.29
24.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: QXO is currently trading at $16.93, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.03 to $17.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.0) compared to its historical average (39.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.32, while resistance sits at $17.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+86.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, QXO is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $15.32, while resistance sits at $17.96. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.50 (+86.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$16.03 -
$17.26
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 86.1% below Wall St target ($31.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.03 -
$17.26
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.32
Resistance Level
$17.96
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.96
Wall Street Target
$31.50
(+86.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12716.3%
Profit Margin
-6.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.0 vs 39.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.24
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$13.71
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$12.34
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→39)
$21.07
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.0, Growth: 114.8%)
$57.14
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 114.8%)
$54.20
(+220%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 114.8%)
$46.07
(+172%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.0 to 39.2
Stabilization Target:
$28.90
(+70.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+70.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 24, 2026 11:31 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:31 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is QXO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced QXO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's QXO price and gamma walls.
