R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
R - Ryder System, Inc.
$267.20
4.84 (1.85%)
▲
5d:
+2.72%
30d:
+1.8%
90d:
+14.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: R shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$429.31
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$266.57
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $267.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $260.91 to $270.68. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $253.57, while resistance sits at $278.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $253.57, while resistance sits at $278.07.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+14.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$260.91 -
$270.68
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($299.56)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$260.91 -
$270.68
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$253.57
Resistance Level
$278.07
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$299.56
(+14.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
8.6%
Profit Margin
3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.9% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$269.97
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$277.80
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$285.85
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→14)
PE COMPRESSION
$262.56
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 20.8%)
$646.86
(+147%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 20.8%)
$462.03
(+76%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 20.8%)
$392.72
(+50%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $12.31
Bull Case
$406.00
(+55%)
Analyst growth 43.9%, PE expands to 22.9
Base Case
$369.09
(+41%)
Market implied 43.9%, PE stable at 20.8
Bear Case
$174.37
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 11:25 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:25 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is R showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
9
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
John J Diez
SELL
9632 shares
2026-02-25
Robert E Sanchez
SELL
41779 shares
2026-02-24
Rajeev Ravindran
SELL
2696 shares
2026-02-19
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