R Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

R - Ryder System, Inc.

SERVICES-AUTO RENTAL & LEASING (NO DRIVERS)
$244.59
-5.14 (-2.06%) ▼
5d: -7.6%
30d: -8.63%
90d: +0.24%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 24, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 22, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 MIXED SIGNALS: R shows conflicting indicators. Wait for confirmation before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$432.47
Based on 12.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$268.53
8.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: R is currently trading at $244.59, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $254.69 to $270.12. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.0) is in line with its historical norms (13.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, R is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $246.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: R scores 22/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $299.56 (+20.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $254.69 - $270.12
Company Quality Score 50/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (22/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($299.56)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
  • WARNING: Composite score 50/100 in the bottom quintile — this cohort historically lags the market

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $254.69 - $270.12
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $246.55
Resistance Level $266.98
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Aug 21, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.99
Wall Street Target $299.56 (+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 5.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 8.6%
Profit Margin 3.9%
Valuation Premium vs History +0.8% premium
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 13.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +0.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $249.83 (+1%)
2-Year Target $251.83 (+2%)
3-Year Target $253.85 (+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→14) PE COMPRESSION $248.62 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.1, Growth: 20.8%) $626.26 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 20.8%) $436.47 (+76%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 20.8%) $371.00 (+50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $11.90
Bull Case $410.36 (+64%)
Analyst growth 48.9%, PE expands to 23.2
Base Case $373.05 (+49%)
Market implied 48.9%, PE stable at 21.1
Bear Case $170.37 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: August 24, 2026 2:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:08 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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NEUTRAL

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