RPT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RPT - Rithm Property Trust Inc.
$12.05
-0.19 (-1.55%)
▼
5d:
-2.19%
30d:
-18.96%
90d:
-17.69%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 3, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.4% annual earnings decline despite 50% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: RPT appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -16.4% annual earnings decline despite 50% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$40.89
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.39
52.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RPT is currently trading at $12.05, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.53 to $14.26. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.2) compared to its historical average (14.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 50.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.43, while resistance sits at $13.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+79.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RPT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.43, while resistance sits at $13.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.00 (+79.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$11.53 -
$14.26
Company Quality Score
47/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 79.7% below Wall St target ($22.00)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$11.53 -
$14.26
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.43
Resistance Level
$13.16
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.16
Wall Street Target
$22.00
(+79.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
37.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
50.0%
Profit Margin
12.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 14.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.02
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$9.91
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$8.92
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→14)
$15.31
(+25%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.7, Growth: 733.3%)
$104.95
(+757%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 733.3%)
$41.31
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.9, Growth: 733.3%)
$35.11
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 14.0
Stabilization Target:
$21.00
(+71.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+71.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 04, 2026 11:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:26 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RPT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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