RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$186.39
4.56 (2.51%)
▲
5d:
+1.5%
30d:
+5.92%
90d:
-4.33%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: RTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$263.69
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$163.73
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $186.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $174.56 to $184.47. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 32.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $176.93, while resistance sits at $194.17.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.73 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $176.93, while resistance sits at $194.17.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $215.73 (+15.7%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$174.56 -
$184.47
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($215.73)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$174.56 -
$184.47
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$176.93
Resistance Level
$194.17
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 23, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.59
Wall Street Target
$215.73
(+15.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
32.5%
Profit Margin
8.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
24.6 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$183.22
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$180.11
(-3%)
3-Year Target
$177.04
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→26)
$186.48
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.6, Growth: 9.7%)
$245.89
(+32%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.7%)
$217.79
(+17%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 9.7%)
$185.12
(-1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.11 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.33
Bull Case
$284.44
(+53%)
Analyst growth 42.2%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$258.58
(+39%)
Market implied 42.2%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$123.64
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 24.6 to 25.9
Stabilization Target:
$196.32
(+5.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 23, 2026 6:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dantaya M Williams
SELL
12713 shares
2026-02-23
Neil G Mitchill Jr
SELL
35755 shares
2026-02-19
Ramsaran Maharajh
SELL
15124 shares
2026-02-19
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