RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$215.22
0.84 (0.39%)
▲
5d:
+1.14%
30d:
+12.22%
90d:
+22.24%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 8.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: RTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: RTX is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.56
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $215.22, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $187.57 to $208.60. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 27.6) is in line with its historical norms (25.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $221.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $221.34. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: RTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$187.57 -
$208.60
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
Protect Your Profits
RTX is technically overbought (RSI 70). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($229.82)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$187.57 -
$208.60
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$190.02
Resistance Level
$221.34
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.55
Wall Street Target
$229.82
(+6.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
27.6 vs 25.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$219.74
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$224.35
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$229.07
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 28→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$215.36
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.5, Growth: 8.7%)
$276.54
(+29%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 8.7%)
$208.10
(-3%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 8.7%)
$176.88
(-18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (28x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.88 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.66
Bull Case
$325.50
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.0%, PE expands to 41.7
Base Case
$295.91
(+38%)
Market implied 38.0%, PE stable at 37.9
Bear Case
$145.78
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 32.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 02, 2026 11:25 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:24 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Dantaya M Williams
SELL
12713 shares
2026-02-23
Neil G Mitchill Jr
SELL
35755 shares
2026-02-19
Ramsaran Maharajh
SELL
15124 shares
2026-02-19
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