RTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
RTX - RTX Corporation
$209.91
-2.38 (-1.12%)
âŧ
5d:
-5.86%
30d:
+0.36%
90d:
+19.28%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Aug 21, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 20, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
Options open interest is building while the stock consolidates - a pattern consistent with institutional accumulation. View Scanner →
Signal fired Aug 7, 2026 at $223.03 · last confirmed Aug 17, 2026
Strength: 8.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: RTX is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At 3.3% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$265.08
Based on 6.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$164.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: RTX is currently trading at $209.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $200.82 to $223.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.7) compared to its historical average (26.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $209.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RTX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, RTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $209.85. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: RTX scores 15/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge. Note this measures entry quality, not trend direction — a low score can mean the chart is extended after a strong run (don't chase) or still falling without stabilization; better entries typically come after a pullback toward the 20-day average. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$200.82 -
$223.67
Company Quality Score
43/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
Holding RTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (15/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($232.27)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Composite score 42/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$200.82 -
$223.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$209.85
Resistance Level
$226.88
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
28.71
Wall Street Target
$232.27
(+3.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
8.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.3% premium
PE vs Historical
28.7 vs 26.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$232.93
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$240.62
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$248.56
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29â26)
PE COMPRESSION
$225.07
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 28.7, Growth: 8.4%)
$287.50
(+28%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$201.36
(-11%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.1, Growth: 8.4%)
$171.16
(-24%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (39x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 39.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.65
Bull Case
$338.88
(+61%)
Analyst growth 39.0%, PE expands to 43.2
Base Case
$308.07
(+47%)
Market implied 39.0%, PE stable at 39.2
Bear Case
$150.72
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 33.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 23, 2026 5:51 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:51 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is RTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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