General Dynamics (GD) Stock: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$350.79
6.08 (1.76%)
â˛
5d:
+4.08%
30d:
+2.17%
90d:
-9.3%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Oct 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Oct 30, 2026
6d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
âšī¸ NEUTRAL: GD is fairly priced but lacks strong directional signals. At -1.1% expected growth, valuation appears fair. Wait for clearer setup or better entry on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$504.51
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$313.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $350.79, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $330.37 to $349.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 13.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $351.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $406.78 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $351.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock scores a mixed 43/100 on our bottoming-setup gauge, with only partial signs of a stabilized entry point. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $406.78 (+16.0%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$330.37 -
$349.94
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
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Holding GD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (43/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($406.78)
- WARNING: Composite score 49/100 in the bottom quintile â this cohort historically lags the market
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$330.37 -
$349.94
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$327.00
Resistance Level
$351.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Oct 22, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.82
Wall Street Target
$406.78
(+16.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
18.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$346.93
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$343.12
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$339.34
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19â20)
$351.54
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 19.9, Growth: 9.6%)
$487.65
(+39%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.8, Growth: 9.6%)
$462.20
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.0, Growth: 9.6%)
$392.87
(+12%)
đ
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.02 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.40
Bull Case
$430.88
(+23%)
Analyst growth 13.6%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$391.71
(+12%)
Market implied 13.6%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$234.40
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
đĄ
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 18.8 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$363.40
(+3.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: October 23, 2026 2:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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