GD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GD - General Dynamics Corporation
$383.90
0.48 (0.13%)
▲
5d:
-1.35%
30d:
+2.77%
90d:
+11.01%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 29, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GD is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: GD is fairly valued with market pricing in 2.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$494.29
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$306.91
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GD is currently trading at $383.90, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $354.94 to $382.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 20.8) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $361.24, while resistance sits at $400.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GD is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $361.24, while resistance sits at $400.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$354.94 -
$382.85
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($414.17)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$354.94 -
$382.85
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$361.24
Resistance Level
$400.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Aug 3, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.76
Wall Street Target
$414.17
(+8.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
8.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.1% premium
PE vs Historical
20.8 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$391.47
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$399.69
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$408.09
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$383.35
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.8, Growth: 9.1%)
$497.91
(+30%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$497.24
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.6, Growth: 9.1%)
$422.65
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.26 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.43
Bull Case
$472.64
(+23%)
Analyst growth 12.4%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$429.68
(+12%)
Market implied 12.4%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$259.90
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: August 03, 2026 3:27 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:27 PM
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Technical Signals Check
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
10153 shares
2026-03-11
Phebe N Novakovic
SELL
32918 shares
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3819 shares
2026-03-11
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