SD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SD - SandRidge Energy, Inc.

CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS
$13.63
-0.29 (-2.08%) ▼
5d: +1.49%
30d: +2.95%
90d: -11.15%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026 TODAY

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SD shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$5.51
Based on -16.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$3.42
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.7x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SD is currently trading at $13.63, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $13.37 to $13.85. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.3) is in line with its historical norms (9.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 42.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SD is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $13.15, while resistance sits at $14.37.

Market Sentiment: SD has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Historical Trading Range $13.37 - $13.85
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 32th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 76.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 32th percentile)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($15.00)

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $13.37 - $13.85
Current vs Trading Range FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.81 (5.9%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $13.15
Resistance Level $14.37
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Aug 3, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.34
Wall Street Target $15.00 (+7.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 16.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 42.9%
Profit Margin 46.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical 9.3 vs 9.7 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.75 (-1%)
2-Year Target $13.59 (-2%)
3-Year Target $13.42 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $13.94 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.7, Growth: -36.6%) $22.52 (+62%)
Base: (SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: -36.6%) $10.15 (-27%)
Bear: (PE: 7.9, Growth: -36.6%) $8.63 (-38%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 6.62 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.05
Bull Case $10.85 (-20%)
Analyst growth -27.3%, PE expands to 7.3
Base Case $9.86 (-28%)
Market implied -27.3%, PE stable at 6.6
Bear Case $9.23 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 5.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.3 to 9.7
Stabilization Target: $14.45 (+3.8%)
PE Expansion Potential: +3.8%
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Last updated: August 04, 2026 4:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:17 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
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Buys
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Sells
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Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SD Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SD price and gamma walls.

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