SEDG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SEDG - SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$52.36
-5.19 (-9.02%) β–Ό
5d: -13.01%
30d: -16.89%
90d: +12.05%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Jun 23, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Distribution

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Strength: 7.1/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SEDG is down 13.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction β†’

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$76.26
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$47.35
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SEDG is currently trading at $52.36, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.39 to $71.30. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 33.4) compared to its historical average (60.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 18.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 659.8% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SEDG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $51.63. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $43.38. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $55.39 - $71.30
Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 65.2%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.0%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 17.1% above Wall St target ($43.38)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $55.39 - $71.30
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $51.63
Resistance Level $64.80
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jun 23, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 33.43
Wall Street Target $43.38 (-17.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 41.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 659.8%
Profit Margin -28.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -18.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 33.4 vs 60.9 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -18.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $47.12 (-10%)
2-Year Target $42.41 (-19%)
3-Year Target $38.17 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 33β†’61) $69.54 (+33%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 33.4, Growth: 4401.1%) $176.71 (+238%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 4401.1%) $115.14 (+120%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 4401.1%) $97.87 (+87%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 33.4 to 60.9
Stabilization Target: $95.39 (+82.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +82.2%
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Last updated: June 23, 2026 5:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:13 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SEDG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SEDG price and gamma walls.

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